Feasibility study of earthquake early warning in Tehran, Iran

Abstract In this study, we examine the scientific feasibility of an Earthquake Early Warning System in Tehran, Iran, by integration Tehran Disaster Mitigation and Management Organization (TDMMO) accelerometric network PRobabilistic Evolutionary early warning SysTem (PRESTo). To evaluate performance TDMMO-PRESTo system providing reliable estimations earthquake parameters available lead-times for The Metropolis two different approaches were analyzed work. first approach was assessed applying PRESTo algorithms on waveforms from 11 moderate instrumental earthquakes that occurred vicinity during period 2009–2020. Moreover, conducted a simulation analysis using synthetic 10 large historical Tehran. We demonstrated six worst-case scenarios can be considered which are mostly related to events southern, eastern, western parts Our results indicate could provide sufficient about 1 15s maximum 20s civil protection purposes